Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001408 0.001498 0.001592 0.001696 0.001808 0.001925 0.002057
2024-10-20 0.001258 0.001380 0.001510 0.001660 0.001828 0.002010 0.002225
2024-10-27 0.001166 0.001310 0.001467 0.001654 0.001870 0.002112 0.002406
2024-11-03 0.001063 0.001217 0.001389 0.001599 0.001847 0.002133 0.002490
2024-11-10 0.001016 0.001183 0.001375 0.001613 0.001901 0.002241 0.002677
2024-11-17 0.000961 0.001136 0.001340 0.001598 0.001917 0.002301 0.002805
2024-11-24 0.000928 0.001112 0.001331 0.001612 0.001966 0.002403 0.002987
2024-12-01 0.000878 0.001065 0.001290 0.001584 0.001960 0.002432 0.003076
2024-12-08 0.000840 0.001030 0.001262 0.001569 0.001969 0.002479 0.003189
2024-12-15 0.000807 0.001000 0.001238 0.001558 0.001981 0.002529 0.003305
2024-12-22 0.000781 0.000978 0.001223 0.001557 0.002006 0.002596 0.003446
2024-12-29 0.000752 0.000949 0.001199 0.001543 0.002011 0.002635 0.003549
2025-01-05 0.000726 0.000927 0.001184 0.001543 0.002039 0.002713 0.003720
2025-01-12 0.000690 0.000889 0.001147 0.001512 0.002024 0.002730 0.003803
2025-01-19 0.000667 0.000867 0.001131 0.001508 0.002044 0.002797 0.003963
2025-01-26 0.000628 0.000824 0.001083 0.001458 0.001999 0.002767 0.003975
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000813 0.001080 0.001471 0.002042 0.002867 0.004189
2025-02-09 0.000593 0.000791 0.001059 0.001457 0.002046 0.002909 0.004315
2025-02-16 0.000581 0.000782 0.001057 0.001470 0.002090 0.003011 0.004540
2025-02-23 0.000558 0.000756 0.001030 0.001445 0.002074 0.003022 0.004618
2025-03-02 0.000540 0.000737 0.001012 0.001432 0.002077 0.003061 0.004743
2025-03-09 0.000524 0.000720 0.000996 0.001422 0.002083 0.003105 0.004878
2025-03-16 0.000512 0.000708 0.000987 0.001421 0.002104 0.003172 0.005056